Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.185239 0.222322 0.262118 0.307707 0.358201 0.412141 0.473844
2025-02-23 0.128753 0.176870 0.232782 0.301326 0.381902 0.472513 0.581011
2025-03-02 0.085223 0.136038 0.200278 0.284438 0.388932 0.511801 0.664605
2025-03-09 0.062094 0.114832 0.186949 0.287016 0.416929 0.575085 0.777436
2025-03-16 0.042262 0.092809 0.168201 0.279181 0.429667 0.618921 0.867377
2025-03-23 0.033144 0.084385 0.166421 0.292745 0.469543 0.697029 1.000989
2025-03-30 0.023431 0.071801 0.156013 0.292343 0.489690 0.749696 1.103377
2025-04-06 0.016523 0.061836 0.147696 0.293427 0.510926 0.803518 1.207716
2025-04-13 0.012198 0.055497 0.144141 0.300828 0.540667 0.868787 1.327649
2025-04-20 0.009166 0.050821 0.142569 0.310744 0.573867 0.939021 1.454943
2025-04-27 0.006680 0.046226 0.140232 0.318838 0.604217 1.005625 1.578213
2025-05-04 0.004178 0.039593 0.132497 0.316891 0.618908 1.050387 1.672615
2025-05-11 0.002735 0.035549 0.129608 0.323317 0.647097 1.115491 1.796828
2025-05-18 0.001444 0.030132 0.122437 0.321321 0.661843 1.161686 1.896045
2025-05-25 0.000451 0.022986 0.109046 0.306258 0.654729 1.175872 1.951209
2025-06-01 0.000175 0.020199 0.106031 0.310445 0.678563 1.235179 2.069381
2025-06-08 0.000018 0.016014 0.097661 0.303031 0.682620 1.265153 2.146754
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.015435 0.100130 0.317833 0.724279 1.351556 2.304373
2025-06-22 NaN 0.012991 0.095703 0.317692 0.740329 1.399714 2.408372
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011034 0.092170 0.318999 0.758677 1.451421 2.517816
2025-07-06 NaN 0.009993 0.091695 0.326911 0.788632 1.521084 2.653519
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009303 0.092397 0.337434 0.823330 1.598326 2.800672
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008492 0.092285 0.346007 0.854682 1.670759 2.941515